Childcare sufficiency report 2023

Childcare supply and demand

Lincolnshire has a broad range of childcare services that offer parents a choice of provision. At the time of the survey there were 818 Ofsted registered childcare providers across Lincolnshire.

Across Lincolnshire, the sufficiency of childcare is good based on current demand.

The following table details the amount of childcare providers by type. Although childminders represent the largest group of providers (326), due to the number of children they can care for within the EYFS statutory framework, they only deliver a small proportion of places compared to our Full Day Care (FDC) and school provision.

Provider type Number of providers
School - out of school provision 99
Standalone - out of school provision 55
School preschool 88
Maintained nursery school 5
Full day care 197
Full day care - term time only 40
Preschool - short day and term time only 8
Childminders 339


In addition to the type of childcare provision there are varying governance models. The following table shows the distribution of settings according to the governance types. 

Governance type Number of providers
Private 536
Voluntary - committee run 95
Independent school 16
Academy 69
Maintained school 115

The largest proportion of providers are privately governed. This includes childminders, full day care and some standalone out of school provision. Our ability to foresee changes within the private sector can be more challenging due to the volatility of the market.  It is therefore essential that we maintain a strong relationship with the sector. This ensures consistent communication and localised intelligence in order to gather updates on the sustainability of the provision being delivered.

Across the last decade, there has been a significant shift from sessional delivery models to full days and all-year-round places being offered that meet working parents needs. This was developed further when the government introduced 30 hours funded childcare for working parents which required many settings to extend the hours they offer. Lincolnshire has more sessional pre-schools extending their hours to meet working parents needs.   

Provision for children aged 11 to 14 years is more likely to be delivered in the form of clubs, activities and groups delivered by schools for their own pupils. This provision is not classed as formal childcare and is not in demand by families for this age group.

Parental survey

We undertook a parental survey as part of the statutory annual Childcare Sufficiency Assessment 2023. The parent survey was published on Let’s talk Lincolnshire for parents or carers with children under 19 years of age, to provide their views and experience of childcare in Lincolnshire. The aim was to find out if childcare is meeting the needs of parents across Lincolnshire.  

To understand the childcare requirements across the county, parents were asked to clarify the reason for accessing childcare when completing the survey. The table below shows most respondents (84%) access childcare in order to work.

Parental response to why they access childcare Number of parents
To access their free entitlement 208
To socialise with peers 747
To enable me to work 1589
To enable me to study 94
To enable me to volunteer 26
To give me some free time 207

You can read further details of the findings of the parent survey.

Childcare sufficiency

The data from the provider and parent surveys is analysed against the housing, birthrate and population data to assess the need for places. A formula is applied to the data which calculates how many places would be needed to accommodate the population in each age group.

The data provided below is on a district level. It gives an overview of the current childcare sufficiency across the county. We hold sufficiency data at a children’s centre reach and ward level.   When assessing the need for more places, the team use the data at ward and children’s centre reach to identify the most appropriate place to develop childcare places. This is done in collaboration with localised intelligence, for example:

  • discussion with providers about take-up of places
  • a review of their occupancy levels within the survey
  • knowledge of the parental demographics of the area

Sufficiency – early years

Lincolnshire largely has a sufficient number of places for 2, 3 and 4-year-olds, based on the current demand.

There are some isolated insufficiencies at ward level. However these are off-set by surplus places in neighbouring wards. South Holland is an area in an exceptional position with a deficit of places across all age ranges for under 5 years. The data from both the provider and parental survey, in collaboration with localised intelligence also tells us that some parents are not able to access the childcare they need in this area. 

Data indicates that in South Holland, Boston, East Lindsey, West Lindsey and Lincoln there are insufficient places for under 2-year-olds. This shortfall is not corroborated by current localised intelligence or the parental survey in some areas. The childcare reforms and the expansion of the funded offer to 9-month-olds by September 2024 however, will place additional demands on existing places.  We will consider if places need to be developed in preparation for the commencement of the new offer. 

District name Places for under 2s Shortfall or surplus for under 2s Places for 2-year-olds Shortfall or surplus for 2-year-olds Places for 3 and 4-year-olds Shortfall or surplus for 3 and 4-year-olds
Boston 197 -95 478 156 1014 62
East Lindsey 381 -47 702 212 1717 397
Lincoln 324 -65 594 121 1416 194
North Kesteven 501 111 821 346 1699 452
South Holland 211 -137 384 -31 982 -145
South Kesteven 633 152 958 355 2088 516
West Lindsey 289 -21 590 216 1359 392
Total 2536 -101 4526 1375 10275 1869

Following a successful disapplication request to the Secretary of State, we have secured £0.780m for a capital grant programme. The funding programme was launched in May 2023 and will support the development of places in line with the CSA 2022 and 2023.

The grant programme focuses on the development of funded education places for 2, 3 and 4-year-olds in areas of identified sufficiency need.  We have welcomed funding applications to develop childcare places in areas of need from existing providers and other individuals or organisations who are interested in developing places in Lincolnshire. There is an expectation that all projects are match funded by the provider, the individual or organisation. 

The government have pledged £12m nationally to support the development of places to accommodate the expansion of the funded offers. We expect to receive information on how that will be distributed by October 2023. 

Where we receive a public request for more in-depth data and analysis, this will be supplied by the Early Years and Childcare Support team.   

Sufficiency – out of school childcare

Out of school childcare refers to the childcare needed for school-aged children. It includes before school, after school and holiday clubs. These are paid for and relied upon by parents to meet their childcare needs. It does not include extra-curricular activity clubs that are run by schools which include sports and art clubs.  Some clubs are standalone, Ofsted registered and privately governed. Many clubs are run under school governance in primary and secondary. 

It will be necessary to develop wraparound and holiday places in some areas across the county to meet parents’ needs. 

Lincolnshire out of school places sufficiency by district

District Places for before school Shortfall for before school Places for after school Shortfall for after school Places for holiday care Shortfall for holiday care
Boston 696 -41 540 -197 374 -178
East Lindsey 1,238 -75 1,062 -252 682 -303
Lincoln 859 -84 781 -163 487 -220
North Kesteven 1,946 728 2,028 811 1,161 248
South Holland 859 -52 701 -210 456 -228
South Kesteven 1,728 307 1,761 340 1,124 58
West Lindsey 1,313 359 1,263 309 536 -180
Total 8,640 1,142 8,136 638 4,820 -804

The data shows that Lincolnshire has a shortfall in out of school places in four districts. This is supported by the data received in the parental survey where 20% of parents reported they were unable to find out of school childcare. The 2023 budget announced that the government will be investing £289m over two academic years to support the development of wraparound care (before and after school). The ambition is for all schools to be able to access 8am to 6pm wraparound provision by September 2026.  

The successful delivery of the HAF Programme in Lincolnshire has strengthened holiday provision across the county. The running of HAF alongside holiday clubs for working parents has ensured sustainability for many clubs.  

For Summer 2023 we had 132 HAF clubs across Lincolnshire, 17 of which are SEND specific. All providers delivering HAF in Lincolnshire should provide an inclusive offer.  They are supported with advice and guidance where required, to help them to meet the needs of children and young people with special educational needs and, or disabilities.  Since 2022, HAF has seen a rapid growth in clubs, in particular those being provided for children with additional needs. 

The DFE have recognised the Lincolnshire programme for its partnership work. It is presented to other local authorities on ‘value for money’ showcasing how donations have enhanced our clubs. There will be a focus on working with the HAF team to ensure this and holiday provision for working parents is assessed in collaboration. 

The development of additional places must be sustainable. Therefore prior to any further development of out of school places, we will complete local consultation with parents. We will work closely in the coming months to ensure developments are carefully considered.  

We are awaiting findings from a national pathfinder programme, currently being delivered in 16 local authorities across the country. We are actively engaging in discussions with the DfE and regional colleagues on solutions to wrap around provision. 

Quality

96% of Lincolnshire’s childcare is Good or Outstanding (Ofsted March 2023).

This means that the majority of children in Lincolnshire have access to high quality settings.  More recent local figures (June 23) show that Lincolnshire now has 97% settings good or outstanding. This demonstrates an increase in quality across the county. The table below shows the comparison between Lincolnshire’s Ofsted ratings and the regional and national figures.

Regions Outstanding percentage Good percentage Requires improvement percentage Inadequate percentage
National 14 82 2 1
East Midlands 7 89 2 2
Lincolnshire 4 92 1 3

Lincolnshire’s Early Childhood Strategy sets out the approach for Lincolnshire to achieve our ambitions to improve educational outcomes for our youngest children.  The strategy outlines our commitment to ensuring the availability of high-quality childcare provision enabling all children to access their entitlement.  Supporting the development of quality provision remains one of our primary focuses. This strategy will be reviewed in 2024 and included in Lincolnshire’s start for life strategy. 

Staff recruitment and retention

There have been some concerns nationally around the ability to recruit people into the sector and retain them in favour of better paid roles with less responsibility.  Supporting recruitment and retention of the childcare workforce is at the heart of the work within the early years team.  We are working in partnership with external agencies such as schools, the DWP and careers advisors to promote a career in the childcare.  

Childcare workforce recruitment and retention remains an area of focus to support the sufficiency duty.

The government has also announced they will be running a national campaign in early 2024 to encourage people to consider a career in the childcare sector.

SEND provision and accessibility

Schools, early years and childcare settings and other organisations that provide services for children must make reasonable adjustments and deliver high quality and inclusive provision to ensure that all children have the same play and learning opportunities. The following are in place to ensure that all children get the support they need, when they need it, and that all children have every opportunity to reach their potential:

  • The Equality Act 2010
  • the Children and Families Act 2014
  • SEND Code of Practice 2015
  • the Early Years Foundation Stage Framework (covering children’s early education from 0 to 5).

Under the legislative frameworks, all children and families must have access to an inclusive childcare place. 

SEN Inclusion Funding (SENIF) is available for children with emerging, or mild Special Educational Needs and Disabilities (SEND). Disability Access Funding (DAF) is payable to settings for children in receipt of Disability Living Allowance (DLA). 

Additional deprivation funding and Early Years Pupil Premium payments are made to supplement the hourly funding rate for children from disadvantaged backgrounds.  

Number of children in receipt of the Early Years Pupil Premium

Summer 2023: 2,504

Providers request parent details so these can be checked for eligibility. The current number of children funded exceeds the expected levels.  This funding is supporting providers with additional costs associated with children’s needs. 

Number of children in receipt of DAF

Autumn 2022 Spring 2023 Summer 2023
55 58 77

Initial indications from HMRC showed that Lincolnshire had approximately 200 children eligible for DAF. The funding awarded is allocated based on a child for the full year. Therefore, combined figures for this academic year show 190 children eligible and providers receiving this additional funding to support those children to access the provision.

The local authority has seen an increase in provider applications to support children with SEN. We have responded by increasing the amount of funding available to providers through the Dedicated Schools Grant specifically for SENIF. Of those SENIF children accessing provision, attendance shows that the majority are accessing their universal and extended hours.

The Early Years team is currently working with performance colleagues to identify all those children in Lincolnshire not currently accessing provision. This includes reviewing GP data against EYE take-up data.  A detailed outreach activity is planned to determine any barriers to accessing provision, and how many of those children not accessing provision have SEND.

Based on feedback from the childcare sector, inclusive provision is being widely offered for children with SEND in Lincolnshire.

15% of parents who responded to the parent survey had children with SEN. Parents identified that one of the barriers to them accessing childcare provision in Lincolnshire is the availability of suitable provision with adequately trained staff to support the needs of their child. 

When supporting the development of a new setting, we ensure that advice and guidance is given around inclusive environments and practice. Childcare staff are able to access training to support their practice.  Locality early years teams help them to develop more inclusive practice to meet the needs of children.  

Both nationally and locally there is ongoing concern about childcare availability for a small number of children with SEND. We are offering all early years family facing professionals, including local authority staff, the opportunity to upskill their knowledge and skills through a free online inclusion training project. This is led by Dingley’s Promise.

Affordability

The cost of childcare continues to rise. The National Living Wage, utility bills, and the impact of inflation all contribute to the increase in childcare fees. Coram Family and Childcare finds that childcare costs continue to rise with a 5.6% increase for those aged under two.

Lincolnshire’s EYE funded rate for 2-year-olds has increased by 33.4% to support provider costs and reduce the fees to parents.

Costs and fees vary between the districts. The table below shows the average fees charged within each district.

District Under 2s 2-year-olds 3 and 4-year-olds Before school After school Holiday care
Boston £5.86 £5.72 £5.46 £3.73 £4.96 £4.52
East Lindsey £5.31 £5.19 £4.91 £3.87 £4.38 £4.38
Lincoln £4.78 £4.85 £4.70 £4.01 £4.20 £4.11
North Kesteven £4.90 £5.05 £4.82 £4.37 £4.31 £3.94
South Holland £5.22 £5.14 £4.93 £3.63 £4.03 £4.50
West Lindsey £4.93 £5.01 £4.82 £4.08 £4.29 £4.22
South Kesteven £5.24 £5.23 £5.18 £4.39 £4.51 £4.66
Lincolnshire average £5.10 £5.12 £4.94 £4.11 £4.36 £4.30

In Lincolnshire, the average hourly costs have increased significantly across all types of provision but more noticeably with out of school care (table above).  

Age range 2022 2023 Difference Increase
0 to 2 years £4.85 £5.10 +£0.25 5.2%
2 to 3 years £4.81 £5.12 +£0.31 6.4%
3 and 4 years £4.74 £4.94 +£0.20 4.2%
Before school provision £3.24 £4.11 +£0.87 26.9%
After school provision £3.41 £4.36 +£0.95 27.9%
Holiday provision £3.15 £4.30 +£1.15 36.5%

Lincolnshire remains lower than the average national fees.  National data shows the average hourly rate for 3 and 4-year-olds as £5.48, whereas in Lincolnshire it is £4.94.

We have a responsibility to ensure there is sufficient, affordable childcare available to meet the needs of families.  Within the parental survey 15% of parents said that affordability was a barrier to accessing suitable childcare. The childcare reforms announced within the spring 2023 budget, will:

  • support parents to access suitable and affordable childcare
  • ensure that delivery of childcare is financially viable for providers

The majority of parents are able to access government support with paying for childcare costs for children aged 0 to 14 years. Government offers are widely promoted to parents and providers in Lincolnshire using the Childcare Choices website. All providers are encouraged to promote this with their parents to ensure their fees remain affordable. Within the provider survey, 92.5% of providers reported that they promote tax-free childcare to their parents. 

The spring budget 2023 also included reforms to universal credit. Payments for support with childcare will be paid upfront when parents move into work or increase their hours. This will support parents returning to work or considering working.  There has also been an increase in the maximum amount of support parents can receive to:

  • £951 for those with one child
  • £1,630 for those with two children

Childcare providers can utilise the Childcare Choices communications toolkit to promote the tax-free childcare and other offers. This is also promoted with the role of the outreach worker.